Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.043403 0.050761 0.058859 0.068416 0.079368 0.091507 0.105963
2025-03-09 0.032264 0.041834 0.053362 0.068200 0.086711 0.108956 0.137621
2025-03-16 0.023885 0.034002 0.047216 0.065578 0.090241 0.122005 0.165753
2025-03-23 0.019909 0.030762 0.045970 0.068537 0.100802 0.144827 0.208890
2025-03-30 0.016263 0.027116 0.043343 0.068906 0.107566 0.163100 0.247923
2025-04-06 0.013049 0.023385 0.039813 0.067174 0.110750 0.176349 0.281030
2025-04-13 0.010689 0.020497 0.036995 0.065917 0.114205 0.190037 0.315889
2025-04-20 0.009598 0.019530 0.037082 0.069246 0.125154 0.216163 0.372279
2025-04-27 0.008569 0.018454 0.036765 0.071750 0.134899 0.241181 0.429145
2025-05-04 0.007154 0.016347 0.034226 0.069879 0.136758 0.253181 0.465504
2025-05-11 0.006134 0.014823 0.032511 0.069222 0.140577 0.268703 0.509013
2025-05-18 0.005133 0.013128 0.030170 0.066978 0.141092 0.278298 0.542812
2025-05-25 0.004333 0.011737 0.028265 0.065413 0.142865 0.290625 0.583253
2025-06-01 0.003832 0.010944 0.027508 0.066112 0.149184 0.312006 0.642323
2025-06-08 0.003216 0.009725 0.025589 0.064018 0.149519 0.321930 0.680626
2025-06-15 0.003005 0.009520 0.025995 0.067156 0.161212 0.355199 0.766898
2025-06-22 0.002672 0.008903 0.025298 0.067644 0.167195 0.377487 0.833288
2025-06-29 0.002283 0.008030 0.023804 0.066004 0.168221 0.389618 0.880127
2025-07-06 0.001970 0.007307 0.022567 0.064800 0.170067 0.403575 0.931798
2025-07-13 0.001870 0.007234 0.023074 0.068094 0.182842 0.442139 1.038225
2025-07-20 0.001748 0.007056 0.023259 0.070569 0.193901 0.477837 1.141188
2025-07-27 0.001501 0.006387 0.021910 0.068731 0.194130 0.489318 1.192334
2025-08-03 0.001322 0.005910 0.021043 0.068086 0.197271 0.507663 1.260037